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一 |     Major housing industry groups voiced "profound concern" in a letter this week urging the Federal Reserve to stop raising interest rates.The rare public admonishment from top business advocates -- including the National Association of Realtors and the National Association of Home Builders -- underscores a dramatic slowdown in the housing market due in large part to rising interest rates.The letter arrives roughly three weeks before the Fed plans to make its latest rate-hike decision.Mortgage rates have reached their highest level in more than two decades and they have continued to rise. Data released on Thursday showed that mortgage rates increased for the fifth consecutive week, according to Freddie Mac."The speed and magnitude of these [mortgage] rate increases, and resulting dislocation in our industry, is painful and unprecedented," the letter from the housing groups said.Here's what to know about why real estate groups called on the Fed to stop raising rates:

What's happening in the housing market?

Sky-high mortgage rates have dramatically slowed the housing market, since homebuyers have balked at stiff borrowing costs and home sellers have opted to stay on mortgages that lock them into relatively low rates.Mortgage applications have fallen to their lowest level since 1996, the Mortgage Brokers Association said earlier this month.Sales of previously owned homes, meanwhile, have plummeted more than 15% compared to a year ago, the National Association of Realtors found in August.The slowdown has coincided with a sharp rise in costs for potential homebuyers.The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage has climbed to nearly 7.6%, Freddie Mac data shows.When the Fed initiated the rise of bond yields with its first rate hike of the current series in March 2022, the average 30-year fixed mortgage stood at just 4.45%.Each percentage point increase in a mortgage rate can add thousands or tens of thousands in additional costs each year, depending on the price of the house, according to Rocket Mortgage.

What role is the Federal Reserve playing in the housing market slowdown?

An aggressive series of interest rate hikes at the Federal Reserve since last year has pushed up the 10-year Treasury yield, which loosely tracks with long-term mortgage rates.The Fed has fought elevated inflation with borrowing cost increases as it tries to slash price hikes by slowing the economy and choking off demand.While inflation has fallen significantly from a peak of about 9% last summer, price increases remain more than a percentage point higher than the Fed's inflation target.Price increases held steady in September, fresh data on Thursday showed, suggesting that elevated inflation remains resistant to the interest rate hikes.The persistence of elevated inflation has prompted the Fed to espouse a policy of holding interest rates at high levels for a prolonged period, which in turn has increased the 10-year Treasury yield and put upward pressure on mortgage rates.Moreover, the Fed expects to raise rates one more time this year, according to projections released last month.Speaking at a press conference in Washington, D.C., last month, Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged the continued effect of interest rates on mortgages, noting that activity in the housing market "remains well below levels of a year ago, largely reflecting higher mortgage rates."

What do the housing industry groups want the Fed to do?

Housing industry advocates want the Fed to take swift actions that reassure investors and other market participants of an end to the policies cooling the industry.Most notably, the industry groups want the central bank to release a statement saying that it has abandoned consideration of additional rate hikes.In their letter to Fed officials, the housing groups cautioned that a further slowdown in real estate could help tip the U.S. economy into a recession, scuttling the central bank's effort to achieve a "soft landing.""We urge the Fed to take these simple steps to ensure that this sector does not precipitate the hard landing the Fed has tried so hard to avoid," the letter said.。    K图 603618_0K图 603986_0  随着上市公司半年报进入密集披露期,章建平、葛卫东、陈发树等市场知名投资人的调仓路径逐渐清晰。

二 |
  整体来看,章建平在二季度末新进成为杭电股份第三大股东、中际旭创第九大股东,同时退出北方稀土、四川黄金、东材科技和西部材料等个股的前十大流通股东名单;葛卫东及其关联人则在二季度加仓兆易创新。  章建平新进成为杭电股份第三大股东  8月25日晚,杭电股份发布的半年度业绩报告显示,“超级牛散”章建平新进成为第三大股东,持有2432.45万股,占总股本比例3.52%。

三 | 图片  杭电股份半年报显示,公司上半年实现营业收入50.97亿元,同比增长12.66%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润为3.93亿元,同比增长938.67%。公告显示,1—6月,公司生产经营呈现“电力电缆业务保持稳定、光通信业务增收增利、铜箔业务稳步推进”的态势。  从公司股价走势来看,6月25日,杭电股份股价创历史新高,最高触及57.21元/股。自年初至6月25日,公司股价累计涨幅达609.55%。之后,杭电股份股价回调,今年以来,截至目前,公司股价累计涨超260%。  除了杭电股份之外,章建平二季度最大的动作当属对中际旭创的重仓。中际旭创半年报显示,截至二季度末,章建平新进成为中际旭创第九大股东,持有593.48万股,占总股本0.53%,以上半年末股价计算,持仓市值超过75亿元。  与此同时,章建平在二季度对资源股进行了集中减持。数据显示,他退出了北方稀土、四川黄金、东材科技和西部材料四只个股的前十大流通股东名单。

四 | 其中,一季度末时章建平持有北方稀土7225万股,而二季度末该股第十大流通股东持股仅1107.5万股,意味着其减持了八成以上的仓位。对于西部材料,章建平一季度以984.94万股的持股量新晋第四大股东,占总股本2.02%,二季度便完成“快进快出”。  葛卫东增持兆易创新  知名牛散葛卫东及其关联人的持仓也在近期浮出水面。数据显示,截至二季度末,葛卫东共现身2家上市公司前十大股东名单,分别为兆易创新和江淮汽车,合计持仓市值超140亿元(以上半年末股价计算)。二季度,葛卫东小幅加仓兆易创新,对江淮汽车持股不变。  兆易创新披露的2026年半年报显示,截至二季度末,葛卫东持有该股1644.67万股,占总股本2.34%,位列第四大股东;其一致行动人王萍持有860.59万股,为公司第六大股东。与一季度末相比,二人分别增持18.51万股和103.27万股。值得注意的是,葛卫东在2025年三季度和2026年一季度曾减持兆易创新,在今年二季度转为重新加仓。  王萍二季度操作更为活跃,截至上半年末,共现身兆易创新、索通发展、中材科技、江淮汽车、禾望电气、新泉股份6家公司的前十大流通股东名单,合计持仓市值超100亿元。

五 | 其中,她新进了中材科技和禾望电气,同时增持兆易创新103.27万股,但对新泉股份进行了大幅减持,持仓降至约744.18万股。  葛卫东另一位关联人葛贵莲二季度新进了新泉股份前十大流通股东名单,截至上半年末持股381.17万股。  此外,知名投资人陈发树的持仓相对稳定,数据显示,陈发树二季度末现身新华都、恒合股份、雷电微力、必创科技、亿联网络等公司前十大流通股东名单。其中,除了小幅减持亿联网络,其余几家公司的持仓不变。  另一知名“牛散”付小铜则在二季度新进了北方稀土和同花顺,同时小幅加仓中信证券。(文章来源:券商中国)。

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